Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.858879 2.019519 2.190425 2.386254 2.605006 2.842492 3.120691
2025-11-16 1.589922 1.804834 2.046767 2.341005 2.691482 3.098464 3.611029
2025-11-23 1.429098 1.674464 1.962295 2.328270 2.786106 3.346525 4.094736
2025-11-30 1.343687 1.616204 1.947073 2.383976 2.954256 3.685606 4.714987
2025-12-07 1.246823 1.531317 1.886386 2.369889 3.023547 3.895335 5.179350
2025-12-14 1.162141 1.452875 1.824401 2.343975 3.068392 4.068912 5.604515
2025-12-21 1.069349 1.356140 1.729706 2.263657 3.027372 4.113557 5.840247
2025-12-28 1.020256 1.313141 1.702289 2.271367 3.107619 4.334928 6.361972
2026-01-04 0.982694 1.282608 1.688686 2.295690 3.211373 4.597388 6.975600
2026-01-11 0.950301 1.256673 1.678923 2.323373 3.320293 4.875166 7.645407
2026-01-18 0.919414 1.230645 1.666722 2.345383 3.420499 5.146133 8.335170
2026-01-25 0.884038 1.196001 1.639529 2.341902 3.478666 5.351517 8.931547
2026-02-01 0.834682 1.139394 1.577970 2.282820 3.444654 5.402419 9.256923
2026-02-08 0.797474 1.098762 1.537985 2.254850 3.459499 5.538646 9.764466
2026-02-15 0.767901 1.067892 1.510867 2.245209 3.503692 5.729916 10.407119
2026-02-22 0.755950 1.062702 1.522494 2.298818 3.660596 6.141769 11.569224
2026-03-01 0.729179 1.033572 1.495094 2.285443 3.697176 6.329814 12.277031
2026-03-08 0.701729 1.002123 1.462348 2.260713 3.710698 6.473502 12.906249
2026-03-15 0.664777 0.954393 1.401400 2.184005 3.622448 6.406238 13.032542
2026-03-22 0.647932 0.937508 1.389367 2.191370 3.692029 6.665112 13.984156
2026-03-29 0.635310 0.926707 1.386599 2.214604 3.793277 6.999722 15.184414
2026-04-05 0.623985 0.917443 1.385793 2.241042 3.902499 7.362788 16.528864
2026-04-12 0.612203 0.906902 1.382246 2.262060 4.002283 7.715876 17.918488